I've been wrong before. But never this wrong. That's a big miss on my part. I did not think Pelosi could get the votes to make this thing work.
Not that I think Reid and the Senate will let this stand. And then there are also all the court challenges sure to arise. And that this bill doesn't really solve enough of our problems. But that's another conversation.
My money was on this thing failing in the House. I was wrong, and I have to own that.
I didn't think they had the stones to pass the Senate bill + reconciliation. They sure hadn't given me a lot of evidence that they would find 216 folks in their caucus to agree on coffee and pastries for tomorrow's continental breakfast, much less on health care. But they did. They may lose every seat in November, but you can't say they didn't go down swinging.
Now that I've admitted my failings, can we talk about the GOP and the right-wing for a moment? You mean to tell me that an issue they've successfully blocked since the Truman administration just got finished by Pelosi and Reid? All the Kennedys, LBJ's, Clintons, O'Neils, and Democratic heavyweights (and many notable Republicans, to be inclusive) failed whenever they sniffed health care.
And Pelosi and Reid got this thing hammered out? The GOP lost to them? Really? I don't know if I'm willing to admit that. Maybe Obama really is some sort of chosen one? I'll have to reexamine that, too.
What, exactly, is the GOP excuse tomorrow morning? Because this is epic fail on their part, and if their rhetoric is to be believed, the very universe was at stake on this legislation. The (white, right-wing) American people had spoken (during the last two elections) and they wanted their country back (from us crazy folk who cast votes for this President and majority)! How could they have let this happen? It is the End of the World!
I just walked outside, and no, the sky is not falling. It is kinda chilly, but what can one expect after 24 months that has seen the election of a black President, a New Orleans Saints Superbowl Win, and Democrats finally passing Health Care.
In Hell, ice in the new FIYAH, baby.
Could this flip the script? Will Republican and conservative voters now turn on their party's representatives for failing to block this bill? After my big failure to accurately predict this outcome, I'll have to wait and see.
I'll admit, it will be fun to watch the GOP & right wing's hyperbolic reactions over the next 48 hours, because they were politically all in on this with much more apocalyptic rhetoric. I mean, there's only so much credit we can give to boys crying wolf and Chicken-Little's sky-is-falling-every-issue memes. Where do you go from here?
Eventually, all the "this is the end of America" talk wears out. They've gone to that well since at least 2001, and probably aren't done with it, but at some point, you've got to accept that apocalyptic rhetoric and overexaggerated hyperbole are going to become political liabilities.
It goes like this: they backed the Dems into a corner with this one. First of all, the Dems are a fairly fractious bunch (as a registered Democrat, I disagree politically with about 48% of other registered Democrats), and the GOP has long depended on that disunity. But with all their end-of-the-known-omniverse-all-that-is-good-and-apple-pie clownery, they built a Democratic bunker that even the Democrats couldn't ignore.
Dems had two options. One: pass the bill and try to survive as the GOP throws everything at them in November. And with all the current GOP and right-wing rhetoric focued on the apocalypse, I fail to see how they can ratchet that up any more than they already have. Or, Two: abandon the bill and .... try to survive as the GOP throws everything at them in November. And with all the current GOP and right-wing rhetoric...you get the idea.
The only possible way out was to pass the bill. That is their ONLY chance at surviving November's elections. Because, while I could never cast my vote for a sky-is-falling Republican, I might stay at home if I thought I'd just be voting for another well-the-GOP-doesn't-like-it-so-we-can't-pass-it Democrat.
Oh well. Interesting times. On to the next one.