Thursday, May 13, 2010

The Cassandra Effect

Oversimplified political cliches have real consequences. When you boil your energy policy objectives down to "Drill, Baby, Drill" and dismiss historical reality by furthering a "Not. One. Drop." mythology, all you do is increase the likelihood that shit is going to hit the fan in a catastrophic way.

The Cassandra Effect is predicting future disaster based on your visions while no one believes you. We are in a more dangerous spot, because today our society refuses to acknowledge the possibility of future disaster based on actual disasters that are already in the history books. I don't know what the hell to call that.

Maybe we wouldn't have to reinvent the wheel during every single catastrophe we experience if we could conceptualize the concept of "historical precedent." Oyster fires off a broadside I-Warned-You-This-Would-Happen.

But does Brown even acknowledge that he was part of the vast right-wing chorus minimizing the catastrophic risks of oil drilling in 2008? Hell no!

But remember, our positive thinking, utopian-land-of-make-believe society would rather mock and marginalize individuals who attempt to inject a dose of reality into any situation. Because that's the way our media and political classes roll, and the decision-making voters roll right along with them.

Why prepare and plan for worst case scenarios*? Mistakes are inconceivable.

* (HT: Jeffery)


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