Friday, October 01, 2010

Closing the Enthusiasm Gap

About 5 weeks left, but if Obama brings more of this, it might be a long 5 weeks.

The Democrats and the President are betting hard on the under-30 crowd, and that's usually the group that leaves candidates at the electoral altar. But he's right about this: if everyone who showed up to vote in 2008 shows up to vote in 2010, Democrats win. Again.

Can they get that turnout, though?



DADvocate said...

He also used the pep rally-style gathering to criticize Republicans, who he said wanted to bring back failed Bush-era economic policies if they regained control of Congress.

I suppose the failed Obama-era economic policies are better.

Cousin Pat from Georgia said...

The economy's been crapping out for a while now. Most of the "gains" we made in the Bush II era had more to do with make-believe money in the form of easy credit or overvalued real estate.

Things didn't just go to hell in 2007, they were on their way there for years before that.

patsbrother said...

Patrick, you've gone a bit too pie-in-the-sky if you think enthusiasm is the only thing holding Democrats back this year.

Not only are those who voted for the current Democrats less enthusiastic, but those of them who are non-Democrats (and even some of the regular Democrats) have expressed their intentions to vote for somebody else.

"[I]f everyone who showed up to vote in 2008 shows up to vote in 2010, Democrats [would not] win. Again." They just wouldn't lose as big.

Cousin Pat from Georgia said...

This isn't pie-in-the-sky stuff, it is called "reality." The only polls that matter are the official ones held on election day, and an awful lot can happen in the 5 weeks before an election.

(Just like an awful lot can happen in the 4th quarter of a football game, just ask the folks at Arkansas. You play till the clock reaches 00:00.)

A Democratic "win" would be keeping control of the Senate and House. They can do that even if they lose some races.

The Democratic base will become much more enthusiastic if Obama hits the trail with speeches like that, especially if his focus is on college campuses. They will also become more enthusiastic now that the GOP's general craziness becomes more exposed to likely voters.

I absolutely understand the whys and hows that Democratic voters may be less enthusiastic about this election, I did a whole post on that the other day. But I also know how they become re-energized: that happens when Obama hits the campagin trail with speeches like that.