I'll say it now, the Democrats will not retake the House of Representatives in 2012. As a matter of fact, I'm of the opinion that the Democrats won't even have a chance to retake the House of Representatives again until after 2020.
And they'll only do that if they can expand their influence in state legislatures in time for the next census figures. Remember, with the GOP sweep of so many state houses during the redistricting process, they get to politically consolidate congressional power through demographic manipulation. Not that the Democrats were any angels when they controlled this process, but the GOP isn't even going to have to play ball with Democrats in the South this time around. That'll free up resources to fight this out in other states in other regions.
Maybe that will teach the national Democrats not to ignore the state parties. Especially in the South.